Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities

Risk Preferences and The Macro Announcement Premium

The paper develops a theory for equity premium around macroeconomic announcements. Stock returns realized around pre-scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as the employment report and the FOMC statements, account for 55% of the market equity premium during the 1961-2014 period, and virtually 100% of it during the later period of 1997-2014, where more announcement data are available. We pr...

Preliminary draft BALANCE SHEET EFFECTS AND THE COUNTRY RISK PREMIUM : AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION

Juan Carlos Berganza, Roberto Chang and Alicia García Herrero October 15 2003 Abstract This paper investigates empirically whether there is a negative relationship between a country’s risk premium and its net worth, as implied by recent theories emphasizing financial imperfections, balance sheet effects, and liability dollarization. We find evidence that balance sheet effects, given by the incr...

Balance Sheet

Equity Premium Predictions with Adaptive Macro Indices

Fundamental economic conditions are crucial determinants of equity premia. However, commonly used predictors do not adequately capture the changing nature of economic conditions and hence have limited power in forecasting equity returns. To address the inadequacy, this paper constructs macro indices from large datasets and adaptively chooses optimal indices to predict stock returns. I find that...

The Technology Balance Sheet

Just as it is essential to understand an organization's financial health, it is equally necessary to understand and measure its technological health. The first section of the chapter describes the technology balance sheet, a useful approach to measuring a company's technology. The second section presents a number of classic technology-related flaws, ranging from requiring infinite technology (i...